2014 Golden Globe Predictions — Film Categories

I haven’t seen as many of the nominees as I’d hoped before the awards Sunday night, but I’ll try to keep making progress before the Oscars in March. So, I’ll do my best with my choices here, but I’m very interested to see how things pan out on Sunday!

Best Motion Picture — Drama

  • 12 Years a Slave
  • Captain Phillips
  • Gravity
  • Philomena
  • Rush

I’m torn here; I’m fairly certain the real competition is between 12 Years a Slave and Gravity, two great (but very different) movies. They’re so different, in fact, that’s they’re difficult to compare. Gravity features amazing effects and a great performance by Sandra Bullock, the only person in the film aside from a much smaller role for George Clooney. 12 Years a Slave features a stellar ensemble with a great breakout performances by Chiwetel Ejiofor and Lupita Nyong’o. I think my money is on 12 Years a Slave, but I think Gravity has a great shot, and would also be deserving.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture — Drama

  • Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
  • Sandra Bullock, Gravity
  • Judi Dench, Philomena
  • Emma Thompson, Saving Mr. Banks
  • Kate Winslet, Labor Day

When I saw Blue Jasmine in August, I clearly remember saying that Cate Blanchett would be hard to beat, and I’m sticking with that statement. Sandra Bullock was great in Gravity, and I think the competition is definitely between those two. My preference of the two performances is Blanchett, but I’d also be happy to see Bullock win.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture — Drama

  • Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave
  • Idris Elba, Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
  • Tom Hanks, Captain Phillips
  • Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club
  • Robert Redford, All Is Lost

I’m kind of ashamed the only movie I’ve seen in this category is 12 Years. I could certainly see this category going to Ejiofor, though. It seems to me that the odds are spread out across these five actors, so Sunday’s awards could be indicative of which direction voters are leaning toward this year.

Best Motion Picture — Comedy or Musical

  • American Hustle
  • Her
  • Inside Llewyn Davis
  • Nebraska
  • The Wolf of Wall Street

Unfortunately, I had a really terrible viewing experience when I saw American Hustle, so it’s difficult for me to have a very strong opinion about it (I definitely liked it, but the overall experience was so distracting that I definitely need to see it again before making a really concrete opinion). However, I really, really loved Nebraska, and it’s also much more accurately placed in the “comedy/musical” category that American Hustle, so I think that’s my top pick here.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture — Comedy or Musical

  • Amy Adams, American Hustle
  • Julie Delpy, Before Midnight
  • Greta Gerwig, Francis Ha
  • Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Enough Said
  • Meryl Streep, August: Osage County

Congrats to Julia Louis-Dreyfus for being nominated in both the film and TV versions of this category, and coincidentally, she also happens to be my pick here. I think Amy Adams gave a great performance, but Dreyfus’s is much more memorable as a comedic performance. I don’t really get the fascination with Before Midnight and its predecessors, and I wasn’t very impressed by what I watched of Francis Ha before giving up (I may give it another try sometime soon), so Dreyfus is the clear choice in my mind.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture — Comedy or Musical

  • Christian Bale, American Hustle
  • Bruce Dern, Nebraska
  • Leonardo Dicaprio, The Wolf of Wall Street
  • Oscar Isaac, Inside Llewyn Davis
  • Joaquin Phoenix, Her

My definite pick here is Bruce Dern, who gave an insanely realistic and amazing performance in Nebraska. I think he may even be my overall favorite in this category at the Oscars and other award shows, but at this point, it’s hard to commit to that firmly. Dern is simultaneously hilarious, frustrating, senile, and heartbreaking, and completely worthy of an award. I think Christian Bale also gave a great performance (because he always does), but American Hustle is much more of an ensemble film, so Dern stands out as the favorite in my mind.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture

  • Sally Hawkins, Blue Jasmine
  • Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
  • Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave
  • Julia Roberts, August: Osage County
  • June Squibb, Nebraska

Okay, this is hard. Since August: Osage County doesn’t come out until tomorrow, I can’t say anything about Roberts’s performance. However, all the other nominees gave great performances. I think I’m leaning toward Lupita Nyong’o, but I could really see this going a variety of ways since these performances as so diverse. I think I’ll be happy regardless of who this award goes to.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture

  • Barkhad Abdi, Captain Phillips
  • Daniel Bruhl, Rush
  • Bradley Cooper, American Hustle
  • Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave
  • Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club

It seems to me that Jared Leto and Barkhad Abdi are the favorites here since their performances have been the most widely discussed, but unfortunately, I didn’t get to see either of their movies. I’m expecting to see one of them win, but it seems that Leto is the most likely. I think Bradley Cooper and Michael Fassbender were both great in their roles, but I think I’d give the edge to Fassbender. He’s really great at playing terrible people.

Best Director of a Motion Picture

  • Alfonso Cuarón, Gravity
  • Paul Greengrass, Captain Phillips
  • Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave
  • Alexander Payne, Nebraska
  • David O. Russell, American Hustle

Just like their films, I see Cuarón and McQueen facing off for the win here. I think, in this case, I’d give the edge to Cuarón because of the combination of originality and innovation that made Gravity so great.

Best Screenplay — Motion Picture

  • Spike Jonze, Her
  • Bob Nelson, Nebraska
  • Jeff Pope and Steve Coogan, Philomena
  • John Ridley, 12 Years a Slave
  • Eric Warren Singer and David O. Russell, American Hustle

I really have no idea how this category will pan out, so my guess is basically a shot in the dark. Of the movies I’ve seen, I’d go with Nebraska, but I could certainly see 12 Years a Slave win, or even Her for originality. 2013 was a great year for movies, and the Globes are likely to indicate how the other big awards shows will turn out. No matter what, it’s sure to be an interesting show!

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